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Sam LaPorta

Sam LaPorta Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Sam LaPorta Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Lions this year (a staggering 60.9 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

This week, Sam LaPorta is predicted by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 96th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.8 targets.

Sam LaPorta slots into the 97th percentile among TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with a superb 48.4 figure this year.

The Detroit offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.

The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 9th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the predictive model to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

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