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Sam LaPorta

Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions

Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Lions to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The predictive model expects Sam LaPorta to total 6.6 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Cowboys, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.8 per game) this year.

After accruing 53.0 air yards per game last season, Sam LaPorta has produced significantly less this season, currently pacing 16.0 per game.

Sam LaPorta's 36.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year marks a noteworthy drop-off in his receiving talent over last year's 50.0 rate.

The Dallas Cowboys defense has conceded the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 35.0) vs. TEs this year.

The Cowboys pass defense has yielded the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (71.4%) to tight ends since the start of last season (71.4%).

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