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Sam LaPorta

Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions

Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 61.2 plays per game.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

This week, Sam LaPorta is forecasted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 95th percentile among TEs with 6.6 targets.

Sam LaPorta has compiled a massive 50.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among TEs.

Sam LaPorta's 42.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 92nd percentile for tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Lions being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.

The model projects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Cardinals, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 29.2 per game) since the start of last season.

The Arizona Cardinals defense has allowed the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 43.0) vs. TEs since the start of last season.

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