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Sam LaPorta

Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 7th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions since the start of last season (a massive 60.2 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) since the start of last season.

In this week's contest, Sam LaPorta is projected by the projections to position himself in the 98th percentile when it comes to TEs with 7.4 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Lions being a 6-point favorite in this game.

The Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (69.3%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (69.3%).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties project as the best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.

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