My Account Log Out

reorder

Sam LaPorta

Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

Sam LaPorta Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 6th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Lions this year (a massive 60.9 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Our trusted projections expect Sam LaPorta to earn 6.7 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to TEs.

In regards to air yards, Sam LaPorta ranks in the towering 94th percentile among tight ends this year, totaling a monstrous 48.0 per game.

Sam LaPorta's 45.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 95th percentile for tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being a giant 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Green Bay Packers, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 33.4 per game) this year.

With a subpar 3.72 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (20th percentile) this year, Sam LaPorta rates among the best tight ends in the pass game in the NFL in space.

More Sam LaPorta Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™