Sam Howell Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

My Account Log Out

reorder

Sam Howell

NFL · Player Props

Sam Howell

QB · Washington Commanders

Passing Yards

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Sam Howell Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 229.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 230.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 229.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Washington Commanders offensive approach to tilt 13.0% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now calling the plays.
The predictive model expects the Commanders as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.1% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
In racking up a whopping 37.8 pass attempts per game this year, Sam Howell slots in among the top quarterbacks in the league (87th percentile) by this metric.
The Commanders O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Sam Howell is positioned as one of the top passers in the NFL this year, averaging an excellent 250.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.

Favors Under

This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 3 points.
The leading projections forecast the Commanders to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Giants, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.5 per game) this year.
Opposing teams have passed for the 9th-fewest yards in the league (just 213.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the New York Giants defense this year.

More Sam Howell Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow