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Sam Howell

Sam Howell Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Sam Howell Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 229.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 230.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 229.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Washington Commanders offensive approach to tilt 13.0% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now calling the plays.
  • The predictive model expects the Commanders as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.1% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • In racking up a whopping 37.8 pass attempts per game this year, Sam Howell slots in among the top quarterbacks in the league (87th percentile) by this metric.
  • The Commanders O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • Sam Howell is positioned as one of the top passers in the NFL this year, averaging an excellent 250.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 3 points.
  • The leading projections forecast the Commanders to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Giants, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.5 per game) this year.
  • Opposing teams have passed for the 9th-fewest yards in the league (just 213.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the New York Giants defense this year.

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