Sam Howell Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Sam Howell

NFL · Player Props

Sam Howell

QB · Washington Commanders

Passing Yards

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Sam Howell Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 249.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 244.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 249.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 14.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders to pass on 61.0% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have 130.3 total plays called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
The 10th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Commanders this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average).
In registering a colossal 42.2 pass attempts per game this year, Sam Howell places among the top QBs in football (100th percentile) in this regard.

Favors Under

An extreme running game script is implied by the Commanders being a huge 7.5-point favorite this week.
Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the New York Giants, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.7 per game) this year.

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