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Sam Howell

Sam Howell Interceptions
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

Sam Howell Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Commanders will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 11.3% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

The model projects the Washington Commanders to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 65.4% pass rate.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Sam Howell has registered 1.43 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 5th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

Chicago's defense grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year as it relates to making interceptions, accumulating a measly 0.48 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Commanders are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see only 121.7 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.

In this week's contest, Sam Howell is anticipated by the projections to have the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 33.0.

Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Bears, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 34.0 per game) this year.

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