Sam Howell Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

My Account Log Out

reorder

Sam Howell

NFL · Player Props

Sam Howell

QB · Washington Commanders

Carries

Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 3:41 AM EST

Analysis

Sam Howell Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-166/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -174 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Favors Under

The Commanders have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 12.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
This week's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Commanders, who are heavy -8.5-point underdogs.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Commanders to run on 32.4% of their downs: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
Right now, the 9th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Washington Commanders.
Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume.

More Sam Howell Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow