Sam Darnold Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 5

My Account Log Out

reorder

NBA Season Tips Off Soon — Don’t Miss the Action! 🏀 2d 15:37:11 🏀 SUBSCRIBE NOW

Sam Darnold

NFL · Player Props

Sam Darnold

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Touchdowns

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 4:27 PM EST

Analysis

Sam Darnold Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1011/-1438).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
When it comes to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Seahawks grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.
With an exceptional 68.9% Adjusted Completion% (79th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold has been as one of the best precision passers in the NFL.
Sam Darnold has not run for any TDs since the start of last season.
The opposing side have rushed for the 6th-fewest TDs in football (0.50 per game) against the 49ers defense this year.

Favors Under

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 3 points.
Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to be the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 46.6% red zone run rate.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Seahawks are predicted by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (a measly 54.0 per game on average).
Our trusted projections expect Sam Darnold to be a more integral piece of his offense's running game near the end zone in this week's game (5.5% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

More Sam Darnold Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow