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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold TD Passes
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

Sam Darnold TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-124/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (63.4% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Vikings.

The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 131.0 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Sam Darnold has been among the best TD throwers in the league this year, averaging an impressive 2.00 per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.

The Rams defense has allowed the 6th-most passing TDs in the NFL: 1.67 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.

The Minnesota Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.0 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 10th-lowest rate in football versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year (68.2% Adjusted Completion%).

More Sam Darnold Player Props

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