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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Sam Darnold TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (62.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Minnesota Vikings.
  • Sam Darnold has been one of the leading TD passers in football this year, averaging an outstanding 1.90 per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a measly 56.1 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 31.9 per game) this year.
  • The Bears defense has surrendered the fewest touchdowns through the air in the league: 0.70 per game this year.

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