My Account Log Out

reorder

Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Minnesota Vikings

Sam Darnold TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the league (62.3% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Minnesota Vikings.

Sam Darnold grades out as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL this year with a terrific 68.9% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 76th percentile.

Sam Darnold has been one of the leading TD passers in football this year, averaging a fantastic 1.89 per game while grading out in the 90th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 6 points.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see just 125.3 plays on offense called: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Vikings this year (just 55.4 per game on average).

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a mere 28.2 per game) this year.

The Titans safeties project as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

More Sam Darnold Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™