Sam Darnold Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Sam Darnold

NFL · Player Props

Sam Darnold

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Chicago Bears · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Analysis

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-112/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -126 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A rushing game script is suggested by the Seahawks being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
At the moment, the 9th-most run-oriented team in football (41.1% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Seattle Seahawks.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see 131.7 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.
The Bears linebackers profile as the worst LB corps in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume.
In this contest, Sam Darnold is expected by our trusted projection set to earn the 7th-fewest carries out of all QBs with 2.3.
Making up just 4.5% of his team's rushing play calls this year (21st percentile when it comes to QBs), Sam Darnold's lack of speed makes him no threat as a ball-carrier.
With a very bad rate of 5.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (15th percentile), Sam Darnold has been among the worst running QBs in football this year.
Sam Darnold's 4.20 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season signifies a noteable diminishment in his running skills over last season's 6.14 rate.

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