Sam Darnold Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Sam Darnold

NFL · Player Props

Sam Darnold

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 25, 2026 8:22 PM EST

Analysis

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+198/-239).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -239.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a running game script.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seahawks to run on 42.7% of their plays: the 8th-highest rate among all teams this week.
At the present time, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Seahawks.

Favors Under

Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
The leading projections forecast Sam Darnold to total 2.4 carries in this week's contest, on balance: the 6th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
Comprising a mere 4.1% of his team's rush attempts this year (22nd percentile among quarterbacks), Sam Darnold's lack of mobility makes him no threat as a ball-carrier.
Sam Darnold has averaged just 4.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest marks in the NFL among QBs (11th percentile).
Sam Darnold rates as one of the weakest quarterbacks in the NFL at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 0.08 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 3rd percentile.

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