Sam Darnold Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Sam Darnold

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 8:32 PM EST

Analysis

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Seahawks, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.

Favors Under

At the moment, the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Seahawks.
Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.
In this week's contest, Sam Darnold is projected by the projections to notch the 6th-fewest rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 2.4.
Sam Darnold is not a mobile QB and has accounted for just 2.6% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 19th percentile among quarterbacks.
With an awful total of 6.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (24th percentile), Sam Darnold places as one of the bottom running quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season.