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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is implied by the Vikings being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Sam Darnold has been much more involved in his team's rushing attack this season (10.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (0.0%).

Sam Darnold's 16.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season illustrates a substantial boost in his rushing prowess over last season's 3.0 figure.

This year, the deficient Colts run defense has conceded a colossal 147.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 4th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to run on 40.0% of their plays: the 8th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The Minnesota Vikings have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.1 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

Sam Darnold rates as one of the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL at picking up extra running yardage, averaging just 0.49 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 8th percentile.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Indianapolis's unit has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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