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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.

The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 131.0 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

After comprising 0.0% of his team's run game usage last season, Sam Darnold has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this season, now sitting at 10.9%.

Sam Darnold has run for significantly more yards per game (17.0) this year than he did last year (3.0).

Opposing teams have rushed for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (155 per game) versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Vikings to be the 8th-least run-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 36.6% run rate.

The Minnesota Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.0 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

With a terrible record of 0.54 yards-after-contact (11th percentile), Sam Darnold ranks among the bottom running quarterbacks in the league this year.

More Sam Darnold Player Props

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