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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 130.4 total plays called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.

Sam Darnold has been a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this season (9.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (0.0%).

Sam Darnold has rushed for quite a few more yards per game (14.0) this season than he did last season (3.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Vikings to run on 37.1% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a mere 52.6 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

With an awful record of 0.11 yards-after-contact (3rd percentile), Sam Darnold places as one of the worst running quarterbacks in football this year.

The Lions defense owns the 2nd-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, surrendering just 3.81 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

More Sam Darnold Player Props

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