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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 28.14 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Vikings to be the 8th-quickest in football (context-neutralized) at the present time.

Sam Darnold has been a more integral piece of his offense's ground game this year (9.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (0.0%).

Sam Darnold has run for quite a few more yards per game (14.0) this season than he did last season (3.0).

The Jets defensive ends profile as the worst DE corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

The projections expect the Vikings to be the 7th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 41.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Sam Darnold profiles as one of the bottom quarterbacks in the league at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a lowly 0.10 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 6th percentile.

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