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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect Sam Darnold to be much more involved in his team's run game in this contest (15.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (0.4% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 37.5% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Vikings are expected by the projection model to call just 62.1 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

Sam Darnold has averaged a measly 0.9 carries per game since the start of last season, one of the lowest rates in the NFL when it comes to quarterbacks (5th percentile).

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