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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

After taking on 0.0% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Sam Darnold has been more involved in the ground game this season, currently taking on 11.8%.

Sam Darnold's 15.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year signifies a noteworthy boost in his running skills over last year's 3.0 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings as the least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 37.1% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 9th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Vikings.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

This year, the anemic Packers run defense has been torched for a staggering 4.22 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing squads: the 28th-highest rate in football.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Green Bay's DE corps has been great this year, grading out as the 8th-best in the league.

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