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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies an extreme running game script for the Vikings, who are heavily favored by 7 points.

After comprising 0.0% of his team's rush attempts last year, Sam Darnold has been more involved in the rushing attack this year, currently accounting for 12.7%.

Sam Darnold's 16.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season shows an impressive gain in his rushing ability over last season's 3.0 mark.

This year, the shaky Bears run defense has yielded a staggering 141.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the least run-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 36.2% run rate.

The predictive model expects the Vikings to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Vikings have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 55.1 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Bears safeties project as the best group of safeties in football this year when it comes to run defense.

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