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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Minnesota Vikings vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.
  • After taking on 0.0% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Sam Darnold has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this season, currently accounting for 11.9%.
  • Sam Darnold's 16.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year reflects a noteable gain in his running skills over last year's 3.0 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Vikings as the 5th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 40.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Vikings are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 63.0 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 56.5 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Arizona Cardinals defense has produced the 9th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding just 4.40 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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