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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Minnesota Vikings

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-117/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 6 points.

Sam Darnold has been much more involved in his team's ground game this season (10.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (0.0%).

Sam Darnold has rushed for significantly more yards per game (17.0) this year than he did last year (3.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 8th-least run-heavy team in the league (37.7% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Vikings.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see just 125.3 plays on offense called: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Vikings this year (just 55.4 per game on average).

The Titans defense owns the 8th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding just 4.39 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

The Titans defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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