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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Minnesota Vikings

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Vikings are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) generally cause lessened passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and higher run volume.

After making up 0.0% of his offense's carries last year, Sam Darnold has had a larger role in the ground game this year, currently taking on 10.6%.

Sam Darnold has run for quite a few more yards per game (15.0) this year than he did last year (3.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 4th-least run-focused offense in the league (37.1% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Minnesota Vikings.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Vikings are anticipated by the model to run just 62.5 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.

The 2nd-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Minnesota Vikings this year (just 52.8 per game on average).

With an awful record of 0.86 yards-after-contact (21st percentile), Sam Darnold has been among the bottom rushing quarterbacks in football this year.

The Jaguars defensive ends rank as the 5th-best group of DEs in football this year with their run defense.

More Sam Darnold Player Props

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