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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 4th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.15 seconds per play.

The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league last year, which ought to result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

While Sam Darnold has accounted for 2.8% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played last year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Minnesota's ground game in this game at 12.5%.

The Giants defense has produced the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing ground games last year, surrendering 4.90 adjusted yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In racking up a paltry 0.8 rush attempts per game last year, Sam Darnold places among the bottom QBs in the league (3rd percentile) when talking about ground game utilization.

Sam Darnold has averaged a measly 3.0 adjusted rushing yards per game last year, one of the lowest marks in the league among quarterbacks (8th percentile).

With a dreadful rate of 0.48 yards-after-contact (20th percentile), Sam Darnold has been as one of the bottom rushing QBs in football last year.

The New York Giants defensive tackles profile as the best collection of DTs in football last year in regard to defending the run.

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