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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts

Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 259.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 253.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 259.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Vikings as the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 60.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

The predictive model expects Sam Darnold to attempt 35.9 passes this week, on balance: the 9th-most among all QBs.

Sam Darnold has thrown for a lot more adjusted yards per game (234.0) this season than he did last season (33.0).

Sam Darnold's passing efficiency has been refined this season, totaling 8.66 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 7.18 figure last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Vikings being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

The Minnesota Vikings have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.1 plays per game.

The Indianapolis Colts cornerbacks project as the 4th-best collection of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

More Sam Darnold Player Props

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