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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 244.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 230.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 244.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (63.4% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Vikings.
  • The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 131.0 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Sam Darnold's 228.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year represents a remarkable boost in his passing proficiency over last year's 33.0 rate.
  • Sam Darnold's throwing effectiveness has gotten better this year, averaging 8.35 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 7.18 rate last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.0 plays per game.

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