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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Houston Texans

Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 249.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 249.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 249.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their normal approach.

The model projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.1 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

In this week's game, Sam Darnold is projected by the projection model to wind up with the 3rd-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.5.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a measly 56.5 plays per game.

Sam Darnold comes in as one of the worst passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 41.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 7th percentile.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Houston's unit has been phenomenal since the start of last season, grading out as the 5th-best in football.

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