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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 249.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 250.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 249.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate.
  • As far as a defense's effect on pace, at 27.85 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Minnesota Vikings as the 10th-fastest in football (in a neutral context) at the moment.
  • Sam Darnold's 252.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year signifies a material boost in his throwing proficiency over last year's 33.0 figure.
  • Sam Darnold's pass-game effectiveness has been refined this season, notching 8.28 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 7.18 rate last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year, the daunting Seahawks defense has surrendered a puny 219.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 7th-best in the league.
  • The Seahawks pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, surrendering 7.36 adjusted yards-per-target: the 5th-fewest in football.
  • When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's safety corps has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 5th-best in football.

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