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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings

Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 225.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 233.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 225.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (62.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Minnesota Vikings.

Sam Darnold's 242.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year shows a noteworthy growth in his passing talent over last year's 33.0 figure.

Sam Darnold's pass-game efficiency has gotten better this season, averaging 8.27 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 7.18 rate last season.

This year, the anemic Chicago Bears defense has conceded the 3rd-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing teams: a colossal 5.43 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3 points.

Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 9th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a measly 56.1 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 31.9 per game) this year.

This year, the imposing Chicago Bears defense has surrendered a puny 207.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing QBs: the 5th-fewest in football.

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