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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Minnesota Vikings

Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 249.5 (+115/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the league (62.3% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Minnesota Vikings.

Sam Darnold has passed for a lot more adjusted yards per game (240.0) this season than he did last season (33.0).

Sam Darnold grades out as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL this year with a terrific 68.9% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 76th percentile.

Sam Darnold's 8.27 adjusted yards-per-target this season illustrates a substantial growth in his throwing effectiveness over last season's 7.2% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 6 points.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see just 125.3 plays on offense called: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Vikings this year (just 55.4 per game on average).

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a mere 28.2 per game) this year.

Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the fewest yards in the league (just 182.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Titans defense this year.

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