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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

Sam Darnold Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 130.4 total plays called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

This week, Sam Darnold is projected by our trusted projection set to average the 7th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 37.5.

The Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (42.2 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a mere 52.6 per game on average).

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