Sam Darnold Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Sam Darnold

NFL · Player Props

Sam Darnold

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Interceptions

Seattle Seahawks vs Chicago Bears · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Analysis

Sam Darnold Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-142/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see 131.7 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.
Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume.
In racking up a massive 1.27 interceptions per game this year, Sam Darnold rates among the bottom QBs in football (6th percentile).

Favors Under

A rushing game script is suggested by the Seahawks being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
The predictive model expects the Seahawks as the 9th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Chicago Bears, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.7 per game) this year.
The Bears linebackers grade out as the best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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