Sam Darnold Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Sam Darnold

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Interceptions

Denver Broncos vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 15, 2026 8:17 PM EST

Analysis

Sam Darnold Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally cause increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Sam Darnold has totaled 1.18 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 12th percentile among quarterbacks.

Favors Under

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 55.9% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
At a whopping 30.55 seconds per play, the Seahawks offense ranks as the 4th-slowest paced in football (context-neutralized) this year.
The projections expect Sam Darnold to throw 33.1 passes in this contest, on balance: the 6th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
Denver's defense grades out as the 5th-best in football this year as it relates to producing interceptions, totaling 0.99 per game.
The Denver Broncos safeties rank as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.