Sam Darnold Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Sam Darnold

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Interceptions

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 4:27 PM EST

Analysis

Sam Darnold Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+113/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.
In logging a staggering 0.75 interceptions per game since the start of last season, Sam Darnold places among the weakest quarterbacks in football (17th percentile).
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

This game's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Seahawks, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.
At the moment, the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Seahawks.
Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Chargers, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (just 29.4 per game) since the start of last season.
The Chargers have intercepted 1.11 throws per game since the start of last season, grading out as the 3rd-best defense in the league by this stat.