My Account Log Out

reorder

Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Interceptions
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

Sam Darnold Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 130.4 total plays called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

This week, Sam Darnold is projected by our trusted projection set to average the 7th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 37.5.

The Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (42.2 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a mere 52.6 per game on average).

The Detroit Lions have intercepted 1.41 balls per game this year, ranking as the 3rd-best defense in the league by this standard.

The Lions safeties profile as the best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

More Sam Darnold Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™