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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Interceptions
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Houston Texans

Sam Darnold Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their normal approach.

The model projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.1 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

In this week's game, Sam Darnold is projected by the projection model to wind up with the 3rd-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.5.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a measly 56.5 plays per game.

In averaging just 0.27 interceptions per game since the start of last season, Sam Darnold rates among the best QBs in football (95th percentile).

Houston's defense ranks as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season when it comes to producing interceptions, compiling 0.92 per game.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Houston's unit has been phenomenal since the start of last season, grading out as the 5th-best in football.

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