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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Interceptions
Player Prop Week 2

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers

Sam Darnold Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-169/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -154 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -169.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.

The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

Our trusted projections expect Sam Darnold to throw 36.0 passes in this contest, on balance: the 10th-most among all quarterbacks.

Opposing offenses have averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense last year: 5th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Vikings are expected by the projection model to call just 62.1 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.

In throwing only 0.19 interceptions per game since the start of last season, Sam Darnold rates among the top QBs in the NFL (97th percentile).

The 49ers have intercepted 1.22 targets per game last year, grading out as the 2nd-best defense in football by this statistic.

The 49ers linebackers profile as the worst unit in the league last year in pass coverage.

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