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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Interceptions
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Minnesota Vikings

Sam Darnold Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the league (62.3% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Minnesota Vikings.

In averaging a colossal 1.21 interceptions per game this year, Sam Darnold ranks among the bottom QBs in the league (5th percentile).

The Tennessee Titans have intercepted 0.29 throws per game this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst defense in football by this metric

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 6 points.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see just 125.3 plays on offense called: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Vikings this year (just 55.4 per game on average).

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a mere 28.2 per game) this year.

The Titans safeties project as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

More Sam Darnold Player Props

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