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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Interceptions
Player Prop Week 10

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Minnesota Vikings

Sam Darnold Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-122/-106).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.9% pass rate.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

Jacksonville's defense ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year as it relates to inducing interceptions, averaging a measly 0.19 per game.

The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties grade out as the worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Vikings are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Vikings are anticipated by the model to run just 62.5 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.

The 2nd-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Minnesota Vikings this year (just 52.8 per game on average).

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) generally cause lessened passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and higher run volume.

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