Sam Darnold Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Sam Darnold

NFL · Player Props

Sam Darnold

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Completions

Seattle Seahawks vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 25, 2026 8:37 PM EST

Analysis

Sam Darnold Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Seahawks.
Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a running game script.
The predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks as the 8th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 57.3% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Sam Darnold to attempt 34.3 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 7th-fewest out of all QBs.
Sam Darnold's 63.6% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a meaningful drop-off in his passing precision over last year's 67.9% rate.
The Kansas City Chiefs cornerbacks rank as the 6th-best collection of CBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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