Sam Darnold Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Sam Darnold

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Completions

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 3:17 PM EST

Analysis

Sam Darnold Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
When it comes to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Seahawks grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.
With an exceptional 68.9% Adjusted Completion% (79th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold has been as one of the best precision passers in the NFL.

Favors Under

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 3 points.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Seahawks are predicted by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (a measly 54.0 per game on average).
As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco's unit has been terrific this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the league.