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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Completions
Player Prop Week 9

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts

Sam Darnold Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+105/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -136.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Vikings as the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 60.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

The predictive model expects Sam Darnold to attempt 35.9 passes this week, on balance: the 9th-most among all QBs.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 2nd-highest clip in the league against the Colts defense this year (76.5% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Vikings being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

The Minnesota Vikings have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.1 plays per game.

The Indianapolis Colts cornerbacks project as the 4th-best collection of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

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