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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Completions
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

Sam Darnold Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (63.4% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Vikings.

The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 131.0 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's group of LBs has been awful this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.

The Minnesota Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.0 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 10th-lowest rate in football versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year (68.2% Adjusted Completion%).

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