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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Completions
Player Prop Week 13

Minnesota Vikings vs Arizona Cardinals

Sam Darnold Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-125/-109).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 60.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Minnesota Vikings O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all pass game stats across the board.

With a terrific 68.2% Adjusted Completion% (76th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-highest clip in the league vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year (74.5% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Vikings are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 63.0 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Minnesota Vikings have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 56.5 plays per game.

The Cardinals safeties grade out as the 8th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

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