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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+122).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 131.0 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • After comprising 0.0% of his team's run game usage last season, Sam Darnold has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this season, now sitting at 10.9%.
  • The Rams linebackers profile as the worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Vikings to be the 8th-least run-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 36.6% run rate.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.0 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

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