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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 130.4 total plays called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
  • Sam Darnold has been a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this season (9.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (0.0%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Vikings to run on 37.1% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a mere 52.6 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Detroit's collection of safeties has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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