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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets

Sam Darnold Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 28.14 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Vikings to be the 8th-quickest in football (context-neutralized) at the present time.

Sam Darnold has been a more integral piece of his offense's ground game this year (9.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (0.0%).

The Jets defensive ends profile as the worst DE corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

The projections expect the Vikings to be the 7th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 41.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

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